Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001101 1.243096e-03 0.001385 0.001537 0.001695 0.001853 0.002024
2026-01-25 0.000788 1.004741e-03 0.001230 0.001480 0.001746 0.002019 0.002320
2026-02-01 0.000556 8.266468e-04 0.001121 0.001458 0.001827 0.002213 0.002645
2026-02-08 0.000380 6.864046e-04 0.001039 0.001455 0.001922 0.002419 0.002981
2026-02-15 0.000249 5.776066e-04 0.000979 0.001469 0.002030 0.002635 0.003327
2026-02-22 0.000156 4.977674e-04 0.000944 0.001504 0.002156 0.002868 0.003689
2026-03-01 0.000073 4.033713e-04 0.000878 0.001497 0.002230 0.003039 0.003980
2026-03-08 0.000015 3.134163e-04 0.000807 0.001475 0.002281 0.003182 0.004234
2026-03-15 NaN 2.546302e-04 0.000769 0.001488 0.002370 0.003362 0.004529
2026-03-22 NaN 1.930213e-04 0.000716 0.001479 0.002428 0.003505 0.004779
2026-03-29 NaN 1.515103e-04 0.000687 0.001495 0.002513 0.003677 0.005059
2026-04-05 NaN 1.141366e-04 0.000656 0.001506 0.002590 0.003837 0.005323
2026-04-12 NaN 7.148248e-05 0.000612 0.001506 0.002666 0.004011 0.005619
2026-04-19 NaN 2.134622e-05 0.000524 0.001443 0.002664 0.004095 0.005819
2026-04-26 NaN 5.384918e-07 0.000466 0.001418 0.002709 0.004235 0.006082
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000424 0.001412 0.002777 0.004402 0.006376
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000395 0.001424 0.002866 0.004593 0.006698
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000381 0.001457 0.002982 0.004815 0.007054
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000344 0.001449 0.003042 0.004970 0.007332
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000301 0.001427 0.003082 0.005098 0.007577
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000280 0.001440 0.003166 0.005279 0.007882
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000249 0.001430 0.003219 0.005419 0.008139
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000233 0.001445 0.003304 0.005599 0.008440